AU · rank #1 · 2026-10-26
PKN
GPW · PLN · $46.26B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.074 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$1.47 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 3 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $157.12 | +0.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -7.09% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.55 |
| Gross margin TTM | +21.6% |
| 52w high | $164.12 |
| Market cap (USD) | $46.26B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
PKN@GPW (ORLEN) is Poland’s vertically integrated oil-and-gas major spanning upstream, refining, petrochemicals, gas, power, and retail across Central Europe.
Rationale
The name screens well on analyst_upside because revisions are broad-based and strong (100% agreement, rising EPS revisions, 49.8% target upside) while Q2 delivered sharp EBITDA, profit, and cash-flow beats with very low leverage.
Material risks
- 1Preliminary Q3 data show lower oil/condensate/NGL and gas output plus about PLN 1.6 billion of expected impairments, which could temper the near-term earnings revision trend.
- 2ORLEN remains exposed to commodity spreads, gas-tariff swings, and petrochemical oversupply, so returns on New Chemicals/Polyolefins are not protected by a sole-source or backlog moat.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.