← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #8 · 2026-10-26

VBK

XETRA · EUR · $2.04B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy2.8strength 2.8 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.848
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.14
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
0
Insider signal (90d)—
Analyst upside
Consensus target $45.00
+58.0%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
-21.32%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
5.00
Gross margin TTM+18.0%
52w high$47.26
Market cap (USD)$2.04B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie AG produces biofuels including biodiesel, bioethanol, and biomethane, while expanding into bio-based specialty chemicals via integrated biorefineries across Europe and North America.

Rationale

The 58.0% analyst upside target and positive 30-day EPS revisions are supported by FY2025/26 EBITDA recovering to EUR 193.9 million, robust FY2026/27 EBITDA guidance of EUR 210–250 million, and the successful commissioning of the Bitterfeld ethenolysis plant.

Material risks

  • 1Lack of disclosed customer off-take contracts or order backlog for the Bitterfeld specialty chemicals plant leaves commercial adoption and volume monetization uncertain during its 60,000-tonne capacity ramp-up.
  • 2Core earnings remain highly exposed to fluctuations in biodiesel and bioethanol commodity spreads and shifts in European GHG-quota pricing dynamics.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed