← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #9 · 2026-10-26

VPK

AMSTERDAM · EUR · $6.94B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy2.6strength 2.6 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.757
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.22
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
2
Insider signal (90d)—
Analyst upside
Consensus target $59.60
+9.6%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+8.04%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.20
Gross margin TTM+95.8%
52w high$54.40
Market cap (USD)$6.94B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Vopak is the world's leading independent tank-terminal operator, storing oil, chemicals, LNG/LPG and emerging-energy products across a globally diversified, port-connected network with 91% occupancy.

Rationale

The analyst_upside signal is reinforced by a concrete earnings beat (15.6% surprise), a post-results guidance upgrade to EUR 1.18–1.22bn EBITDA, 100% revision agreement among covering analysts, and accelerating momentum — all pointing to a credible, near-term re-rating catalyst rather than pure sentiment drift.

Material risks

  • 1REEF LPG Canada has slipped to Q1 2027 and EemsEnergyTerminal's 2036 extension still awaits permits — two growth projects underpinning the upgraded guidance carry execution and regulatory risk that could erode the earnings revision thesis if further delayed.
  • 2Analyst coverage is thin (only 4 analysts) and target dispersion is wide at 33.6%, meaning the 9.6% consensus upside figure is statistically fragile and a single downgrade or target cut would materially shift the signal.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed