BN · rank #7 · 2026-07-20
AM
PARIS · EUR · $25.15B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.03 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +12.2% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +13.7% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +12.9% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.8% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.29 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 0.06× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +24.9% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | — |
| Market cap (USD) | $25.15B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Dassault Aviation designs and manufactures Rafale combat jets and Falcon business aircraft, with 77% export-driven revenues and a ~220-aircraft Rafale backlog underpinning multi-year delivery visibility.
Rationale
The bottleneck-solver thesis is reinforced by Dassault's sole-source position on Rafale — Europe's only sovereign multirole fighter in serial production — with India's ~€30B 114-aircraft clearance and a 175-jet delivery backlog creating durable revenue visibility at a 1.29x fwd PEG with 25% analyst upside.
Material risks
- 1FCAS termination removes Dassault from the next-generation European fighter programme entirely, capping its long-term combat air relevance and potentially stranding R&D investment, though near-term Rafale demand is unaffected.
- 2H1 2026 earnings release on July 22 (two days after the as-of date) creates binary event risk — any guidance miss on Rafale deliveries or Falcon demand softness could reprice the 24.9% analyst upside gap sharply.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.