Bottleneck Solvers

BN · rank #7 · 2026-07-21

AM

PARIS · EUR · $24.79B (USD)

SignalHold
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European defense ammunition bottleneck
Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank.
0.04
Forward revenue growth
Consensus forward revenue growth.
+12.2%
Forward net margin
Consensus forward net margin.
+13.7%
Net margin TTM
Trailing twelve month net margin.
+12.9%
Margin expansion
Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points).
+0.8%
Forward PEG
Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth.
1.29
Debt / FCF
Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer.
0.06×
Analyst upside
Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price.
+26.4%
Last EPS surprise
Most recent reported EPS versus consensus.
Market cap (USD)$24.79B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Dassault Aviation is a French aerospace and defense prime centered on Rafale combat aircraft and Falcon business jets, with a large export-driven backlog and growing mission/surveillance work.

Rationale

The signal fits a bottleneck-solver setup because Dassault controls a scarce European sovereign fighter capability, has long-dated government and export orders, and benefits from rising defense demand and visible 2026 delivery guidance.

Material risks

  • 1FCAS instability and the loss of a joint next-generation fighter path could leave Dassault reliant on Rafale upgrades rather than a broader future platform moat.
  • 2Heavy dependence on sovereign export orders, especially India and other foreign buyers, makes revenue timing vulnerable to procurement delays or political shifts.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Unknown