← Bottleneck Solvers
BN · rank #13 · 2026-07-22
FII
PARIS · EUR · $3.37B (USD)
SignalBuy1.8strength 1.8 / 10
verdict · PROCEED
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European defense ammunition bottleneck
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | -0.34 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +9.6% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +8.6% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +7.7% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.9% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 0.99 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 3.35× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +9.1% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | — |
| Market cap (USD) | $3.37B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Lisi S.A. manufactures high-precision fasteners and structural components for global aerospace, defense, and automotive OEMs.
Rationale
Lisi directly addresses European defense and ammunition bottlenecks by supplying quasi-sole-source components for Rafale, Caesar cannons, and BONUS shell bodies, backed by a €2.3bn aerospace backlog.
Material risks
- 1Contractual procurement frameworks with primary civil customers Airbus and Boeing impose structural 3% annual price reductions, squeezing aerospace margins despite strong backlog volumes.
- 2Persistent demand contraction in the LISI AUTOMOTIVE division threatens to dilute group-level earnings and offset aerospace momentum, ahead of imminent Q2 2026 earnings on July 23.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.
OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed