BN · rank #18 · 2026-07-22
NXPI
NASDAQ · $68.96B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.08 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +10.6% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +22.8% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +21.0% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +1.8% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 0.67 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 3.96× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +13.7% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +2% |
| Market cap (USD) | $68.96B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
NXP Semiconductors is a leading automotive and industrial edge semiconductor supplier whose domain-specific SoCs, radar chips, and secure AI processors are deeply embedded in multi-year vehicle and industrial design cycles.
Rationale
The bottleneck-solver thesis is reinforced by NXP's single-chip radar SoCs with on-sensor L2/L2+ ADAS processing, S32N7 zonal compute, and eIQ Agentic AI framework — proprietary, hard-to-displace components in software-defined vehicle and physical AI pipelines — supported by a 0.67 forward PEG and 13.7% analyst upside implying the market underprices this structural role.
Material risks
- 1NXP does not own the full AI stack in its NVIDIA and GE HealthCare collaborations, meaning a partner strategic pivot could commoditize its edge AI differentiation and erode the sole-supplier positioning that underpins the bottleneck thesis.
- 2April 2026 distributor price increases risk accelerating share shifts to Texas Instruments or Infineon in automotive and industrial channels precisely when OEM inventory correction risk is elevated, threatening the 10.6% forward revenue growth assumption.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.