BN · rank #15 · 2026-07-24
AIR
PARIS · EUR · $184.15B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | -0.58 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +11.7% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +7.4% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +6.9% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.5% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.68 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 7.57× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +6.9% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | -21% |
| Market cap (USD) | $184.15B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
AIR@PARIS (Airbus) is a duopoly global commercial aircraft prime with a large defense business and a ~9,037-aircraft backlog that supports multi-year production visibility.
Rationale
The signal fits a bottleneck-solver setup because Airbus sits on a structurally scarce production slot base, is benefiting from strong order intake and defense resilience, and still has double-digit forward revenue growth with margin expansion potential.
Material risks
- 1Ongoing engine shortages from Pratt & Whitney and inventory build-up are already delaying deliveries and pressuring free cash flow, threatening the pace of backlog conversion.
- 2The last earnings print was weak, with Q1 2026 revenue and EBIT down and an EPS surprise of -21.4%, so execution risk remains high even with guidance intact.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.