Bottleneck Solvers

BN · rank #11 · 2026-07-24

FII

PARIS · EUR · $3.31B (USD)

SignalBuy2.3strength 2.3 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European defense ammunition bottleneck
Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank.
-0.28
Forward revenue growth
Consensus forward revenue growth.
+9.6%
Forward net margin
Consensus forward net margin.
+8.6%
Net margin TTM
Trailing twelve month net margin.
+7.7%
Margin expansion
Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points).
+0.9%
Forward PEG
Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth.
0.99
Debt / FCF
Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer.
3.35×
Analyst upside
Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price.
+15.0%
Last EPS surprise
Most recent reported EPS versus consensus.
Market cap (USD)$3.31B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Lisi S.A. designs and manufactures high-reliability fasteners and structural components for leading global aerospace and defense OEMs, which contribute approximately two-thirds of group revenue after the 2025 divestment of its medical division.

Rationale

LISI is highly leveraged to the european_defense_ammunition_bottleneck macro theme through its supply of critical fasteners and components to major defense programs like the Caesar artillery and Rafale, which is validated by a strong H1 2026 earnings beat.

Material risks

  • 1High customer concentration exposes LISI to severe volume disruptions if key aerospace or defense OEMs decide to build precision fastener capabilities in-house.
  • 2Structural softness in the global automotive division and transactional currency headwinds continue to drag on group-level margins and limit overall pricing power.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed