BN · rank #16 · 2026-07-27
ELMT
NASDAQ · $427M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.02 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +9.2% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +1.6% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +1.3% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.2% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | — |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 3.19× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +43.9% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +2400% |
| Market cap (USD) | $427M |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Elmet Group is the sole U.S.-owned supplier of precision tungsten and molybdenum critical material components and engineered high-power microwave systems, serving aerospace, defense, and government markets with >95% non-China sourcing.
Rationale
ELMT directly solves the U.S. munitions and energetics supply-chain bottleneck as a sole-source domestic provider of tungsten-based defense components, with a $113M+ firm order backlog, 21% YoY revenue growth, and fresh IPO capital to accelerate vertical integration reinforcing the structural moat this strategy targets.
Material risks
- 1Tungsten/molybdenum supply-chain disruption or new export controls on non-China sources could simultaneously spike input costs and erode the sole-supplier moat that is the entire basis of the bottleneck-solver thesis.
- 2At only 4 institutional 13F holders with zero median position change, the stock is thinly institutionally owned post-IPO, creating liquidity and price-discovery risk that could prevent the analyst upside of ~44% from being realized on any reasonable timeline.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.