BN · rank #2 · 2026-09-04
AMD
NASDAQ · $744.67B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 1.12 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +72.0% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +18.5% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +15.6% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +2.9% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 0.48 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 0.51× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +34.6% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +23% |
| Market cap (USD) | $744.67B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
AMD designs high-performance CPUs and AI accelerators, with its Instinct MI400 series and Helios rack-scale platform now anchoring a data center AI growth cycle backed by named multi-year commitments from OpenAI, Meta, Microsoft Azure, and Oracle.
Rationale
The bottleneck-solver thesis is directly reinforced — MI400's 432GB HBM4 and 19.6TB/s bandwidth attack the memory-capacity and interconnect bottlenecks in frontier AI training, and named multi-year hyperscaler orders provide the revenue visibility that distinguishes a structural moat from pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1NVIDIA's CUDA ecosystem and hyperscaler in-house ASICs (Google TPUs, Amazon Trainium, Microsoft Maia) retain 75–85% AI accelerator share, meaning AMD's named orders could stall or be displaced before MI400 achieves the volume needed to sustain 71% forward revenue growth.
- 2MI400 ramp depends on TSMC 2nm/3nm yields, HBM4 packaging capacity, and customer qualification timelines — a slip in any of these compresses the H2 2026 revenue window that the current fwd PEG of 0.48 is pricing in.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.