BN · rank #7 · 2026-09-04
FII
PARIS · EUR · $3.16B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | -0.20 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +10.5% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +9.9% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +8.9% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +1.1% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 0.99 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 3.50× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +26.8% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | — |
| Market cap (USD) | $3.16B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Lisi S.A. (FII) is a French industrial group and the world's #3 aerospace fastener producer, supplying high-precision fasteners and structural components to Airbus, Lockheed Martin (F-35), and other major OEMs from a globally distributed manufacturing footprint.
Rationale
The bottleneck-solver thesis is directly reinforced by Lisi's documented readiness to backfill supply after the SPS Technologies Jenkintown fire, its 17.6% like-for-like aerospace revenue growth in Q1 2026, and its structural position as an approved single-source supplier on programs including F-35 and A220, making the supply-constraint edge concrete rather than sentiment-driven.
Material risks
- 1Bottleneck status erodes if SPS Technologies restores Jenkintown capacity faster than expected, normalizing aerospace fastener supply and eliminating Lisi's backfill pricing power before the thesis fully monetizes.
- 2A €24 million H1 2026 USD/EUR currency headwind and debt-to-FCF of 3.5x leave limited buffer if Airbus or Boeing softens build-rate guidance, compressing both revenue growth and the margin expansion embedded in the 26.8% analyst upside target.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.