BN · rank #8 · 2026-09-07
FII
PARIS · EUR · $3.23B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | -0.22 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +10.5% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +9.9% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +8.9% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +1.1% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 0.99 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 3.50× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +24.1% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | — |
| Market cap (USD) | $3.23B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Lisi S.A. (FII) is a French industrial group and the world's #3 aerospace fastener producer, supplying high-tech fasteners and structural components to Airbus, Lockheed Martin (F-35), and other major OEMs through its dominant LISI AEROSPACE division.
Rationale
The bottleneck-solver thesis is directly reinforced by Lisi's documented ability to backfill supply after the SPS Technologies Jenkintown factory fire, its active capacity deployment in aerospace fasteners, a new US patent in ultrasonic tightening control, and OPTIBLIND qualification underway — all pointing to structural single-source positioning rather than sentiment riding.
Material risks
- 1Competitor capacity restoration — if SPS Technologies and other fastener rivals rebuild supply at scale, Lisi's backfill opportunity and pricing power compress, directly eroding the bottleneck premium the thesis depends on.
- 2USD/EUR FX headwinds (€24M adverse impact in Q1 2026 alone) combined with execution risk on simultaneous capacity ramp and productivity initiatives could suppress the margin expansion and FCF conversion the model prices in.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.