BN · rank #18 · 2026-09-08
NVMI
NASDAQ · $11.84B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.26 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +26.2% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +29.2% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +28.8% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.4% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.46 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 4.23× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +43.0% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +5% |
| Market cap (USD) | $11.84B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Nova Ltd (NVMI) supplies semiconductor process-control and metrology tools for dimensional, materials and chemical measurements, with increasing exposure to advanced packaging for AI and high-bandwidth memory.
Rationale
The quant signal fits the bottleneck_solvers thesis because Nova sits on critical measurement steps in complex nodes and packaging, where record 2024 sales, ~26% forward growth, and ~29% forward net margin suggest the tools remain a high-value choke point.
Material risks
- 1Larger competitors like KLA, Applied Materials, Onto and Hitachi can pressure share and pricing, and customers could develop in-house or alternative metrology for advanced packaging, directly weakening Nova’s bottleneck role.
- 2Semiconductor capex cyclicality and export-control/geopolitical disruptions can swing orders sharply and reduce visibility despite the strong AI packaging theme.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.