BN · rank #15 · 2026-09-09
GFS
NASDAQ · $24.74B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.26 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +12.6% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +12.3% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +10.3% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +2.0% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 0.68 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 2.11× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +68.6% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +3% |
| Market cap (USD) | $24.74B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
GlobalFoundries is a specialty semiconductor foundry focused on differentiated, non-leading-edge process technologies—RF, power, embedded NVM, and advanced packaging—serving AI infrastructure, automotive, and communications customers with increasing government-backed capacity.
Rationale
GFS screens as a bottleneck solver because its specialty nodes and advanced packaging capabilities create genuine single-source dependencies for customers who cannot simply shift to TSMC or Samsung, and the $675M in government support plus long-term customer agreements provide revenue visibility that validates the structural moat rather than mere sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Large customers (notably AMD, which has historically been a key GFS anchor) could accelerate insourcing or redirect AI-packaging volumes to TSMC's CoWoS ecosystem, directly hollowing out the bottleneck thesis if GFS loses sole-source status on specific platforms.
- 2Intensifying competition in advanced packaging from TSMC and emerging OSATs could commoditize the AI-infrastructure angle that is driving GFS's current re-rating, compressing the specialty premium that justifies the fwd PEG of 0.68 and 68% analyst upside.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.