← Bottleneck Solvers
BN · rank #11 · 2026-09-09
HAG
XETRA · EUR · $10.77B (USD)
SignalBuy1.6strength 1.6 / 10
verdict · PROCEED
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European defense ammunition bottleneck
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | -0.37 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +16.6% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +5.1% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +4.5% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.6% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.05 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 5.45× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +13.7% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | -3% |
| Market cap (USD) | $10.77B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Hensoldt AG (HAG@XETRA) is a German defence electronics specialist focusing on advanced sensors, radar, and electronic warfare solutions for military applications.
Rationale
The bottleneck-solver thesis is highly valid as Hensoldt addresses networked air defence integration bottlenecks, backed by a record €10 billion backlog and 24% H1 2026 revenue growth.
Material risks
- 1Contract vulnerability and lack of sole-source status, as demonstrated by recent investor concerns over lost naval contracts which could erode its backlog.
- 2Net profit compression driven by higher financing costs and a surging tax burden following the exhaustion of tax loss carryforwards.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.
OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed