BN · rank #6 · 2026-09-10
TSEM
NASDAQ · $24.48B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.79 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +37.2% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +20.9% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +16.9% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +3.9% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 3.56 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 0.47× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +45.4% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +14% |
| Market cap (USD) | $24.48B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Tower Semiconductor is a pure-play specialty analog foundry offering differentiated silicon photonics, RF, power, and imaging processes to 300+ customers across AI datacenter, communications, automotive, and defense end-markets from fabs in Israel, the US, and Japan.
Rationale
The bottleneck-solver thesis is directly reinforced by $1.3B in signed 2027 SiPho/AI datacenter supply contracts, production-ready 300mm CPO platforms, and record Q2 revenue with 31% YoY Q3 guidance—demonstrating structural, contract-backed criticality rather than sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Customer insourcing or architectural displacement risk is real—Broadcom, Intel, and other marquee customers have internal photonics R&D, and a shift away from Tower's SiPho process node toward in-house or competing foundry solutions would directly invalidate the sole-source bottleneck thesis.
- 2Geopolitical exposure at the Israeli HQ and primary fabs creates a non-diversifiable operational risk that could disrupt fulfillment of the $1.3B 2027 contracts precisely when AI datacenter demand peaks, with no quick fab relocation option.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.