BN · rank #7 · 2026-09-11
AIR
PARIS · EUR · $181.19B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | -0.28 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +11.7% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +8.2% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +7.7% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.5% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.46 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 2.87× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +18.0% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +16% |
| Market cap (USD) | $181.19B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Airbus SE is a global aerospace and defense prime contractor operating commercial aircraft, military platforms, and helicopters, anchored by a ~9,200-unit commercial backlog and growing European defense demand.
Rationale
The european_defense_ammunition_bottleneck macro theme is reinforced by Airbus's Defence & Space division posting 10% revenue growth with EBIT more than doubling in H1 2026, confirming it is capturing real budget flows—not just sentiment—across A400M, Eurofighter, and Eurodrone platforms where it holds sole/prime-contractor positions.
Material risks
- 1The bottleneck-solver thesis depends on Airbus being a structural chokepoint in European defense supply chains, but its core earnings engine remains commercial aircraft (>70% of revenue), meaning a demand shock or Boeing recovery could dilute the defense-driven margin expansion signal the model is pricing.
- 2A fwd_peg of 1.46 and debt_to_fcf of 2.87 leave limited valuation cushion if engine-supply constraints (CFM/RTX) re-emerge and delay the delivery ramp that is driving the 28% revenue growth and analyst upside assumptions.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.