Bottleneck Solvers

BN · rank #11 · 2026-09-11

MTX

XETRA · EUR · $21.49B (USD)

SignalBuy1.3strength 1.3 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European defense ammunition bottleneck
Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank.
-0.50
Forward revenue growth
Consensus forward revenue growth.
+9.9%
Forward net margin
Consensus forward net margin.
+10.2%
Net margin TTM
Trailing twelve month net margin.
+10.2%
Margin expansion
Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points).
-0.0%
Forward PEG
Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth.
1.42
Debt / FCF
Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer.
4.50×
Analyst upside
Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price.
+20.2%
Last EPS surprise
Most recent reported EPS versus consensus.
+3%
Market cap (USD)$21.49B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

MTU Aero Engines AG is Germany’s leading aircraft engine manufacturer and MRO provider, serving as a critical risk-sharing OEM partner for commercial and military propulsion systems.

Rationale

The company solves critical aerospace capacity bottlenecks, supported by a €30.4–31.6 billion order backlog that renders it "technically sold out" for three years with highly visible sole-supplier contracts.

Material risks

  • 1High program concentration in Pratt & Whitney's GTF platform, where future customer shifts toward in-house maintenance capabilities would severely pressure commercial MRO revenue.
  • 2Funding delays and shifting political priorities among European partners on the Next Generation Fighter Engine and FCAS programs.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed