← Bottleneck Solvers
BN · rank #7 · 2026-10-19
AM
PARIS · EUR · $26.30B (USD)
SignalStrong Buy2.6strength 2.6 / 10
verdict · PROCEED
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European air defense industrial base
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | -0.10 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +10.8% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +12.6% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +11.5% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +1.1% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.09 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 0.08× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +18.7% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | — |
| Market cap (USD) | $26.30B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Dassault Aviation designs and manufactures Rafale combat aircraft and Falcon business jets, operating as Europe's leading independent military aircraft producer.
Rationale
The company solves Europe's defense-industrial bottleneck for sovereign, ITAR-free combat aircraft, backed by a €45.4 billion order backlog that secures multi-year revenue visibility.
Material risks
- 1Competition from Lockheed Martin's F-35 and Eurofighter could constrain international export wins, compounding the risk of backlog erosion following a sharp drop in H1 2026 order intake.
- 2The reported delay of Falcon 10X entry-into-service from 2027 to 2029 risks deferring revenue and ceding market share in large-cabin business jets.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.
OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed