← Bottleneck Solvers

BN · rank #14 · 2026-10-19

LRCX

NASDAQ · $330.30B (USD)

SignalBuy3.0strength 3.0 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
Advanced AI chip supply
Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank.
0.31
Forward revenue growth
Consensus forward revenue growth.
+19.0%
Forward net margin
Consensus forward net margin.
+32.6%
Net margin TTM
Trailing twelve month net margin.
+31.3%
Margin expansion
Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points).
+1.3%
Forward PEG
Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth.
1.45
Debt / FCF
Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer.
0.83×
Analyst upside
Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price.
+42.4%
Last EPS surprise
Most recent reported EPS versus consensus.
+8%
Market cap (USD)$330.30B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Lam Research Corp designs and manufactures semiconductor wafer-fabrication equipment and provides lifecycle services across etch, deposition, and cleaning processes.

Rationale

Lam's proprietary high-aspect-ratio and atomic-layer etch solutions solve critical fabrication bottlenecks in advanced AI logic, memory, and packaging, supporting 19.0% forward revenue growth and 32.6% forward net margins.

Material risks

  • 1Tightening US export controls and accelerating Chinese domestic supplier substitution (e.g., AMEC, Naura) directly threaten up to 34% of Lam's revenue base.
  • 2Near-term binary volatility around the upcoming October 21, 2026 earnings report alongside cyclical risk from potential delays in AI and foundry capital expenditure.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed