BN · rank #15 · 2026-10-19
NVMI
NASDAQ · $10.22B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.29 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +26.2% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +29.2% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +28.8% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.4% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.46 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 4.23× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +60.4% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +5% |
| Market cap (USD) | $10.22B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Nova Ltd (NVMI) sells high-precision metrology and process-control tools used to solve yield and dimensional control bottlenecks in advanced logic, memory, and advanced packaging.
Rationale
The quant setup fits a bottleneck-solver thesis because Nova is tied to advanced-AI chip supply constraints, is posting ~26% forward revenue growth with high ~29% forward net margins, and management is seeing record demand and product traction in Gate-All-Around and advanced-node applications.
Material risks
- 1Large semiconductor customers could develop or adopt in-house or alternative metrology/process-control capabilities, which would weaken Nova’s bottleneck position and pricing power.
- 2Nova has no disclosed quantitative backlog and remains exposed to customer concentration plus competitive pressure from KLA and Onto Innovation, making revenue timing and share gains less durable.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.