← Bottleneck Solvers

BN · rank #7 · 2026-10-20

AM

PARIS · EUR · $26.25B (USD)

SignalHold
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European air defense industrial base
Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank.
-0.17
Forward revenue growth
Consensus forward revenue growth.
+10.8%
Forward net margin
Consensus forward net margin.
+12.6%
Net margin TTM
Trailing twelve month net margin.
+11.5%
Margin expansion
Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points).
+1.1%
Forward PEG
Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth.
1.09
Debt / FCF
Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer.
0.08×
Analyst upside
Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price.
+19.7%
Last EPS surprise
Most recent reported EPS versus consensus.
—
Market cap (USD)$26.25B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Dassault Aviation is a French aerospace prime contractor selling Rafale combat aircraft, Falcon business jets and mission aircraft, with a large export-heavy backlog and sovereign defense relevance.

Rationale

The signal fits a bottleneck-solver profile because Dassault controls an independently upgradeable Rafale platform with scarce European fighter capacity, visible backlog, and renewed demand from India plus the FCAS/NGF disruption that elevates its strategic importance.

Material risks

  • 1India’s prospective 114-aircraft Rafale deal is still only under negotiation, so a major expected order could slip or fail to convert.
  • 2Demand is heavily tied to government procurement and export approvals, and the new sovereign AI/Falcon 10X upgrades are not yet contracted revenue or a guaranteed moat.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Caution