← Bottleneck Solvers

BN · rank #12 · 2026-10-20

FII

PARIS · EUR · $3.16B (USD)

SignalBuy1.4strength 1.4 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European air defense industrial base
Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank.
-0.32
Forward revenue growth
Consensus forward revenue growth.
+10.7%
Forward net margin
Consensus forward net margin.
+9.8%
Net margin TTM
Trailing twelve month net margin.
+8.9%
Margin expansion
Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points).
+0.9%
Forward PEG
Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth.
0.99
Debt / FCF
Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer.
3.50×
Analyst upside
Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price.
+22.9%
Last EPS surprise
Most recent reported EPS versus consensus.
—
Market cap (USD)$3.16B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

LISI S.A. (FII) is a French mid-cap aerospace and automotive fastener and structural-component manufacturer supplying Airbus, Boeing, and defense programs, with aerospace representing ~70% of group revenue.

Rationale

The bottleneck-solver thesis is directly reinforced by LISI's embedded qualification moat, renewed strategic-customer contracts, a strong 2026–2027 named order backlog, and 10.4% aerospace revenue growth driven by Airbus A320/A350 and Boeing ramp-ups that structurally require qualified fastener capacity LISI is actively expanding.

Material risks

  • 1Fastener-capacity expansion and structural-component productivity improvements must execute flawlessly to convert the strong backlog into cash—working capital at 84 revenue-days and inventories at 109 revenue-days already signal cash conversion stress that could persist if ramp timelines slip.
  • 2Automotive (30% of revenue) is in active decline with the Puiseux-Pontoise shutdown, Hungary integration costs, and Chinese/North American volume weakness, creating a meaningful earnings drag that partially offsets aerospace momentum and compresses the group-level margin expansion story.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed