BN · rank #16 · 2026-10-21
HWM
NYSE · $84.40B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.14 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +14.1% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +21.9% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +20.5% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +1.4% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 0.80 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 2.52× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +47.5% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +8% |
| Market cap (USD) | $84.40B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Howmet Aerospace manufactures mission-critical engine components, aerospace fasteners, and airframe structures for commercial aerospace, defense, and industrial gas-turbine markets.
Rationale
High technical barriers and proprietary engineering in engine components position Howmet as a key bottleneck solver, driving 24% YoY revenue growth, 32.1% EBITDA margins, and a 0.80 forward PEG ratio.
Material risks
- 1Proposed customer missile rate increases remain unconfirmed, creating risk that precision munitions demand fails to convert into formal orders while competing for capacity at Howmet's Virginia facility.
- 2Commercial aircraft build-rate disruptions, supply-chain delays, or elevated post-acquisition debt ($4.50 billion) could constrain margin expansion and capital deployment.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.