BN · rank #12 · 2026-10-21
NVMI
NASDAQ · $10.18B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.32 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +26.2% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +29.2% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +28.8% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.4% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.46 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 4.23× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +61.4% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +5% |
| Market cap (USD) | $10.18B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Nova Ltd. designs and supplies high-precision inline optical, chemical, and materials metrology systems essential for yield control in advanced logic, gate-all-around, and 3D packaging semiconductor processes.
Rationale
The quant signal's strong 26.2% forward revenue growth and high forward net margin (29.2%) are validated by Nova's tool-of-record win for its WMC platform at a leading foundry, directly reinforcing its thesis as an advanced AI packaging bottleneck solver.
Material risks
- 1High customer concentration—with the top five customers representing 51% of FY2025 sales—exposes Nova to severe revenue volatility and potential tool-of-record displacement by competitors like KLA or Onto Innovation.
- 2High sales exposure to China (33% of FY2025 revenue) leaves the firm vulnerable to expanding U.S. export controls, sanctions, and domestic Chinese equipment vendor substitution.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.