← Bottleneck Solvers

BN · rank #10 · 2026-10-21

SAF

PARIS · EUR · $145.44B (USD)

SignalBuy2.0strength 2.0 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European air defense industrial base
Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank.
-0.20
Forward revenue growth
Consensus forward revenue growth.
+10.3%
Forward net margin
Consensus forward net margin.
+13.0%
Net margin TTM
Trailing twelve month net margin.
+11.6%
Margin expansion
Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points).
+1.5%
Forward PEG
Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth.
1.85
Debt / FCF
Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer.
0.55×
Analyst upside
Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price.
+21.9%
Last EPS surprise
Most recent reported EPS versus consensus.
—
Market cap (USD)$145.44B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Safran SA is a French aerospace and defense supplier specializing in commercial aircraft engines, landing gear, aircraft equipment, and military optronic systems.

Rationale

Safran's dominant position in the CFM International joint venture and massive installed LEAP engine fleet make it a critical bottleneck solver for global commercial aviation aftermarket services and defense propulsion.

Material risks

  • 1Certification and deployment delays for the Maverick high-pressure turbine blade could defer LEAP-1B profit recognition under risk-and-revenue-sharing contracts into late 2026 or 2027.
  • 2High partner dependency on GE Aerospace within the 50/50 CFM joint venture, combined with significant pricing and schedule leverage held by Boeing and Airbus.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed