← Bottleneck Solvers

BN · rank #20 · 2026-10-21

TXN

NASDAQ · $253.68B (USD)

SignalSell
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
Advanced AI chip supply
Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank.
0.08
Forward revenue growth
Consensus forward revenue growth.
+14.6%
Forward net margin
Consensus forward net margin.
+32.7%
Net margin TTM
Trailing twelve month net margin.
+31.1%
Margin expansion
Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points).
+1.6%
Forward PEG
Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth.
0.97
Debt / FCF
Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer.
2.62×
Analyst upside
Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price.
+19.3%
Last EPS surprise
Most recent reported EPS versus consensus.
+12%
Market cap (USD)$253.68B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

TXN is a leading analog and embedded-processing supplier using vertically integrated 300mm manufacturing to relieve mature-node analog/power capacity constraints across industrial, automotive, and data-center markets.

Rationale

The signal fits a bottleneck-solver profile because TI has scale, breadth, and in-house fabs, with strong forward growth, high margins, margin expansion, and valuation still below 1.0x PEG despite continued capacity ramp benefits.

Material risks

  • 1China exposure is the biggest thesis risk, since roughly half of shipments went into China and export controls, tariffs, or demand shocks could blunt the capacity/scale advantage.
  • 2The 300mm expansion and Silicon Labs deal could fail to translate into expected synergies if demand softens or integration/regulatory issues delay returns, leaving TI with higher fixed costs.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Caution