← Bottleneck Solvers
BN · rank #15 · 2026-10-22
MTX
XETRA · EUR · $21.02B (USD)
SignalSell
verdict · CAUTION
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European air defense industrial base
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | -0.47 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +10.1% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +10.1% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +10.2% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | -0.1% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.80 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 4.50× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +19.5% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +3% |
| Market cap (USD) | $21.02B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
MTU Aero Engines is a German aero-engine and MRO supplier with deep exposure to Pratt & Whitney’s GTF platform, military engines, and high-value components.
Rationale
The bottleneck-solver signal fits because MTU is helping relieve GTF fleet-availability and maintenance constraints, backed by a €30.4bn backlog, double-digit revenue growth, and visible 2026 guidance.
Material risks
- 1Pratt & Whitney or Airbus could internalize more engine maintenance or propulsion work, reducing MTU’s bottleneck value and aftermarket economics.
- 2GTF powder-metal recall costs and compensation could keep cash flow under pressure beyond the planned year-end 2026 resolution.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.
OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Caution