BN · rank #13 · 2026-10-26
AIR
PARIS · EUR · $170.64B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | -0.28 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +11.9% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +8.3% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +7.7% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +0.5% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 1.43 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 2.87× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +19.8% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +16% |
| Market cap (USD) | $170.64B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
AIR@PARIS (Airbus) is a global commercial-aircraft and defense manufacturer with a dominant A320-family position, a 9,222-plane backlog, and rising Defence & Space profitability.
Rationale
The signal fits a bottleneck-solver setup because Airbus is monetizing scarce A320neo-family production capacity and backlog visibility, with H1 2026 EBIT up sharply, deliveries ramping, and continued order intake supporting forward growth.
Material risks
- 1Pratt & Whitney engine inspection/repair bottlenecks plus supplier-quality and Spirit work-package issues could delay deliveries, suppress output, and erode the very bottleneck advantage the trade is premised on.
- 2Boeing’s competitive recovery or an aircraft/engine architecture shift could weaken Airbus’s A320neo scarcity premium and reduce pricing leverage, while FCAS uncertainty may dampen defense upside.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.