← Bottleneck Solvers

BN · rank #10 · 2026-10-26

AM

PARIS · EUR · $25.86B (USD)

SignalBuy2.1strength 2.1 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Bottleneck themes
The structural shortage this name supplies into.
European air defense industrial base
Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank.
-0.16
Forward revenue growth
Consensus forward revenue growth.
+10.8%
Forward net margin
Consensus forward net margin.
+12.4%
Net margin TTM
Trailing twelve month net margin.
+11.3%
Margin expansion
Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points).
+1.1%
Forward PEG
Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth.
1.03
Debt / FCF
Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer.
0.08×
Analyst upside
Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price.
+20.4%
Last EPS surprise
Most recent reported EPS versus consensus.
—
Market cap (USD)$25.86B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Dassault Aviation designs and manufactures Rafale combat fighters and Falcon business jets, serving as Europe's primary non-U.S. sovereign military aircraft supplier.

Rationale

Dassault solves a critical geopolitical defense bottleneck by offering non-U.S. dependent fighter jets, supported by a €45.4 billion backlog that guarantees multi-year revenue visibility and double-digit projected revenue growth.

Material risks

  • 1Extreme export concentration, with export orders representing 89% of 2025 order intake, exposes cash flows to foreign defense budget cuts and diplomatic export control halts.
  • 2Aerospace supply chain execution bottlenecks and component shortages could delay scheduled deliveries of 28 Rafales and 40 Falcons for 2026.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed