BN · rank #18 · 2026-10-26
GFS
NASDAQ · $24.74B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of the factors below; drives the rank. | 0.16 |
|---|---|
| Forward revenue growth Consensus forward revenue growth. | +12.5% |
| Forward net margin Consensus forward net margin. | +12.3% |
| Net margin TTM Trailing twelve month net margin. | +10.3% |
| Margin expansion Forward minus trailing net margin (percentage points). | +2.0% |
| Forward PEG Forward P/E to growth. Below 1 is cheap for the growth. | 0.72 |
| Debt / FCF Net debt relative to free cash flow. Lower is safer. | 2.11× |
| Analyst upside Spread between the consensus 12m target and the current price. | +68.2% |
| Last EPS surprise Most recent reported EPS versus consensus. | +3% |
| Market cap (USD) | $24.74B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
GlobalFoundries (GFS) is a specialty foundry serving automotive, industrial, communications, and AI-adjacent packaging/connectivity niches, with new U.S.-based interposer and advanced-packaging capacity tied to TSMC, Marvell, and government-backed expansion.
Rationale
The signal fits a bottleneck-solver setup because GFS is gaining contracted exposure to AI packaging and silicon-photonics capacity, with 12.5% forward revenue growth, margin expansion, low PEG, and strong analyst upside supporting the rerating case.
Material risks
- 1The most thesis-breaking risk is that the TSMC interposer and Malta fab revenue ramp is long-dated and not sole-source, so the bottleneck thesis can fail if customers diversify, delay, or insource capacity before 2028-2029.
- 2GFS remains exposed to mature-node pricing pressure and customer concentration, with 10 largest customers representing about 63% of wafer volume and Chinese subsidized capacity potentially compressing utilization and margins.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.