QM · rank #7 · 2026-07-20
GPW
GPW · PLN · $1.18B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +81.55% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +18.6% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +36.4% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $1.18B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-19 | $85.15 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-20 | $46.90 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
GPW operates the Warsaw Stock Exchange and related market infrastructure, earning fees from equity trading, commodity markets, listings, and data services as Poland's sole regulated securities exchange operator.
Rationale
Record Q1 2026 revenue (+27.5% YoY), EBITDA margin expansion, 37.8% net profit growth, and 18.5% ROE confirm that the quality signals are grounded in real operating leverage, while 82% price momentum reflects genuine fundamental acceleration rather than sentiment drift.
Material risks
- 1Revenue is structurally volume-dependent with no contracted order backlog, meaning a reversal in Polish equity or commodity market activity directly collapses earnings and invalidates the momentum thesis without a structural buffer.
- 2Regulatory or tax changes in Poland or the EU targeting exchange economics or clearing arrangements could compress margins rapidly given GPW's concentrated domestic revenue base and limited geographic diversification.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.