Quality Momentum

QM · rank #20 · 2026-07-21

BAMNB

AMSTERDAM · EUR · $3.35B (USD)

SignalBuy1.0strength 1.0 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Momentum 12-1
Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago.
+78.90%
ROE TTM
Return on equity, trailing 12 months.
+22.8%
Profit margin
Net profit margin, trailing 12 months.
+3.0%
Market cap (USD)
Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent).
$3.35B
Anchor (recent)
Close on 2026-06-19
$12.42
Anchor (far)
Close on 2025-06-20
$6.94

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Koninklijke BAM Groep is a Dutch-listed construction and civil engineering group with ~€7bn revenue, operating across Netherlands residential/civil, UK construction, Belgium, and energy-transition/defence projects underpinned by a €13bn order book.

Rationale

The 79% trailing momentum is directly reinforced by concrete fundamental catalysts — UK business outperformance flagged by analysts in May 2026, a 22.8% ROE reflecting disciplined margin recovery, and 2026 guidance for further revenue and EBITDA growth off a fully-funded €13bn backlog.

Material risks

  • 1Dutch grid congestion and nitrogen regulations can materially delay the ~30,000-unit residential pipeline, the key growth driver post-Blokland acquisition, directly threatening the earnings-growth leg of the quality-momentum thesis.
  • 2Ongoing German/international legacy losses (including MBDA-related project charges) represent a persistent drag on group ROE and could erode the quality signal if provisioning accelerates ahead of the 30 July 2026 earnings release.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed