QM · rank #14 · 2026-07-21
KTY
GPW · PLN · $3.28B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +53.10% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +28.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +10.7% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $3.28B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-19 | $1,263.00 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-20 | $824.96 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Grupa Kęty (KTY) is a Polish diversified aluminium processor operating across extruded profiles (EPS), aluminium building systems (ASS), and flexible packaging (FPS), serving European construction, industrial, and consumer markets.
Rationale
The 53% trailing momentum signal is grounded in real earnings delivery — FY2025 net profit of PLN 565M beat company guidance, Q1 2026 preliminary profit of PLN 132M confirms carry-through, and ROE of 28% with a 10.7% margin reflects genuine quality rather than multiple expansion alone.
Material risks
- 1Single-segment concentration risk is the clearest thesis threat — ASS is the sole growth engine, and a slowdown in European construction demand or competitive pressure in aluminium systems would disproportionately compress group earnings with no offsetting segment to absorb the hit.
- 2Net debt of ~PLN 1.54B at 1.5x EBITDA, combined with active investment programs in EPS and ASS and the ZELT integration, limits balance-sheet flexibility if a commodity price spike or volume contraction hits simultaneously, potentially forcing a dividend cut that would reprice the quality premium.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.