QM · rank #16 · 2026-07-21
MIL
GPW · PLN · $6.23B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +50.04% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +14.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +18.9% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $6.23B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-19 | $20.45 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-20 | $13.63 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Bank Millennium (MIL) is a mid-sized Polish universal bank with strong Q1 2026 momentum in PLN mortgages, corporate lending, and fee income, still burdened by a legacy Swiss franc mortgage portfolio.
Rationale
The 50% trailing 12-1 month price return combined with 14% ROE and 19% profit margins reflects genuine fundamental improvement — 68% YoY net profit growth beating consensus by 11% and an all-time-low NPL ratio of 3.7% — validating both the momentum and quality legs of the screen.
Material risks
- 1The Swiss franc mortgage portfolio generated over PLN 200 million in costs in Q1 2026 alone, and unresolved court outcomes or accelerated settlements could deliver a discrete, material earnings shock that breaks the quality signal without warning, especially with earnings due 7 days post as-of-date.
- 2NII contracted ~2% YoY as WIBOR fell ~200bps, and any further Polish rate normalization or macro deterioration compresses the primary revenue driver, making the reported ROE of 12.1% fragile relative to the 15.2% adjusted figure the bull case relies on.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.