QM · rank #13 · 2026-07-22
PKO
GPW · PLN · $35.14B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +59.37% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +18.6% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +36.8% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $35.14B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-22 | $104.80 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-20 | $65.76 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
PKO Bank Polski is Poland's largest retail bank by loans and deposits, serving over 12.5 million customers with dominant ~20% market share and a leading mobile banking franchise via the IKO app.
Rationale
Strong 59% trailing momentum is reinforced by concrete fundamental delivery — Q1 2026 ROE of ~17.3% well above the 12% strategic target, ~35% cost-to-income, and 12.7% YoY loan growth confirm the quality screen is capturing real earnings power, not multiple expansion alone.
Material risks
- 1FX mortgage legal risk is an active, recurring earnings drain — PLN 388M in Q1 2026 legal-risk costs alone — and adverse court verdicts could accelerate provisions materially, directly compressing the ROE that anchors the quality signal.
- 2Polish monetary policy easing or a windfall-tax revision could compress net interest margins and erode the profitability trajectory that sustains momentum, particularly given NIM sensitivity at this scale of balance sheet.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.