Quality Momentum

QM · rank #6 · 2026-07-23

NDA

XETRA · EUR · $8.49B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy3.0strength 3.0 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Momentum 12-1
Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago.
+148.13%
ROE TTM
Return on equity, trailing 12 months.
+17.1%
Profit margin
Net profit margin, trailing 12 months.
+4.5%
Market cap (USD)
Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent).
$8.49B
Anchor (recent)
Close on 2026-06-23
$196.30
Anchor (far)
Close on 2025-06-23
$79.11

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Aurubis is Europe's largest copper group and a leading global multi-metal recycler, converting copper concentrates and complex scrap into copper and specialty metal products for industrial customers worldwide.

Rationale

The momentum signal (1.48) is reinforced by a concrete fundamental catalyst — sequential EBT improvement, a raised full-year guidance reiterated at the July 2026 AGM, and growing recycling earnings — giving the price trend an earnings-revision backbone rather than pure sentiment.

Material risks

  • 1Treatment-charge and precious-metal price volatility can rapidly compress the profit margin (currently a thin 4.5%) and ROE, directly undermining the quality leg of the quality-momentum thesis if spot markets reverse before the H2 earnings delivery.
  • 2Technical delays in strategic smelter and recycling projects have already pressured free cash flow (still negative at -€63M in H1), risking a guidance miss on the upper end of the €375–475M operating EBT range that underpins current momentum.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed