QM · rank #13 · 2026-07-23
XTB
GPW · PLN · $4.26B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +54.74% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +41.6% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +31.2% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $4.26B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-23 | $109.10 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-23 | $70.51 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
XTB is Poland's dominant retail online broker offering FX, CFDs, equities and ETFs to over 2.16 million global clients via its proprietary xStation platform.
Rationale
Record Q1 2026 net profit of PLN 535M (+176% YoY), ROE of 42%, and 55% trailing price momentum collectively validate the quality-momentum screen — accelerating client acquisition (370K new clients in one quarter) is compounding both earnings and sentiment simultaneously.
Material risks
- 1Regulatory escalation risk is concrete and live — the KNF's PLN 20M MiFID II fine for CFD conduct breaches signals active supervisory scrutiny that could restrict XTB's core CFD revenue engine or force product redesign, directly threatening the earnings trajectory underpinning the quality signal.
- 2Aggressive marketing spend (PLN 235M in Q1 alone) to sustain 250K–290K quarterly client additions creates operating leverage in reverse — if client acquisition costs rise or conversion rates disappoint in Germany or other expansion markets, margins compress sharply and the quality signal degrades quickly.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.