Quality Momentum

QM · rank #20 · 2026-07-24

PEO

GPW · PLN · $16.36B (USD)

SignalBuy1.0strength 1.0 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Momentum 12-1
Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago.
+37.92%
ROE TTM
Return on equity, trailing 12 months.
+18.8%
Profit margin
Net profit margin, trailing 12 months.
+40.9%
Market cap (USD)
Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent).
$16.36B
Anchor (recent)
Close on 2026-06-24
$228.80
Anchor (far)
Close on 2025-06-24
$165.90

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Bank Pekao is Poland's second-largest universal bank, operating a diversified retail and corporate lending franchise with a heavily digitalized distribution network.

Rationale

Pekao's high-quality profitability—evidenced by an 18.75% TTM ROE and 40.9% profit margin—strongly supports its 0.3792 momentum signal, driven by robust 11% year-on-year loan growth and exceptionally low 37bp risk costs.

Material risks

  • 1Impending earnings risk from the Q2 report scheduled for July 30, 2026, which could inject near-term volatility if rising Polish Bank Guarantee Fund (BFG) costs or margin compression surprise the market.
  • 2Regulatory headwinds, including the Polish Financial Supervision Authority's 75% cap on the 2025 dividend payout and execution or legislative hurdles surrounding a potential merger with insurer PZU.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed