QM · rank #10 · 2026-07-24
PKN
GPW · PLN · $46.57B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +60.07% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +4.4% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +2.4% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $46.57B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-24 | $122.78 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-24 | $76.70 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN SA operates as the largest vertically integrated energy group in Central and Eastern Europe, with operations spanning refining, petrochemicals, power generation, and retail fuel distribution.
Rationale
The strong 12-1 momentum signal is fundamentally validated by a massive Q1 2026 earnings beat and a high-quality, net cash balance sheet that supports a proposed record PLN 9.3 billion dividend payout.
Material risks
- 1Extreme earnings sensitivity to volatile refining margins and global commodity prices, which can quickly reverse positive momentum as demonstrated by the profit miss in Q4 2025.
- 2Capital-allocation and project execution risks in major decarbonization and transition projects, highlighted by the PLN 1.11 billion impairment of the "New Chemistry" petrochemical initiative.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.