QM · rank #4 · 2026-07-24
TOR
GPW · PLN · $440M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +90.07% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +13.9% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.1% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $440M |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-24 | $68.00 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-24 | $35.78 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Torpol SA (TOR@GPW) is a Polish specialist rail and infrastructure engineering group focused on designing and modernizing railway lines, stations, tram tracks, and associated systems, with a growing Oil & Gas subsidiary.
Rationale
The 90% trailing momentum is directly reinforced by a concrete fundamental catalyst — the PLN ~3bn Warszawa Wschodnia contract and Warsaw diameter award lifting the net backlog toward PLN 7bn, providing revenue visibility through 2028 that justifies re-rating alongside a positive ROE of ~14%.
Material risks
- 1Revenue concentration in PKP PLK mega-projects means a single political budget decision or tender cancellation (e.g., nuclear-access corridor or E65 scope change) could collapse near-term revenue visibility and invalidate the backlog-driven momentum thesis.
- 2Intensifying price competition in new rail tenders to replenish post-2028 backlog risks compressing margins on the next award cycle, and Q1 2026 revenue already fell 13.2% YoY, signaling execution cadence risk on the existing record backlog.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.