QM · rank #19 · 2026-07-27
LBW
GPW · PLN · $437M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +38.21% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +24.0% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +20.4% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $437M |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-26 | $12.66 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-27 | $9.16 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Lubawa (LBW) is a Warsaw-listed Polish defence and technical textiles specialist producing camouflage, masking, decoy and protective systems primarily for the Polish Armed Forces and NATO-aligned customers.
Rationale
The quality_momentum signal is directly reinforced by hard fundamentals — Q1 2026 net margin ~17%, ROE ~24%, zero net debt, and a 30%+ single-session price catalyst from the ~586 mln PLN Wisła II contract award that anchors the momentum leg with genuine earnings visibility rather than pure sentiment.
Material risks
- 1Near-total revenue concentration in Polish MoD and NATO procurement means a defence budget freeze, program cancellation, or policy shift (e.g., Wisła II scope reduction) would simultaneously collapse both the backlog and the quality metrics underpinning the screen.
- 2Execution risk on a large, lumpy contract backlog (~586 mln PLN Wisła II plus 17.04 mln EUR NATO delivery) in a small-cap manufacturer with ~137 mln PLN quarterly revenue could compress margins and break the profitability trajectory if capacity or supply-chain constraints emerge.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.