QM · rank #9 · 2026-07-27
PKN
GPW · PLN · $47.57B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +62.73% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +4.4% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +2.4% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $47.57B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-26 | $123.46 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-27 | $75.87 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
ORLEN operates as a vertically integrated energy conglomerate dominating refining, petrochemicals, power generation, and retail fuel distribution in Central and Eastern Europe [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS, BUSINESS_STATUS, COMPETITIVE_POSITION].
Rationale
The strong momentum signal is validated by a stellar Q1 2026 earnings turnaround and a high-quality balance sheet profile underpinned by a net cash position and an upcoming record PLN 9.3 billion dividend payout [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS, FINANCIAL_NOTES].
Material risks
- 1High vulnerability to cyclical refining margins and global crude prices, which could rapidly compress the current $17/bbl windfall margins if Middle East geopolitical and shipping disruptions resolve [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS, TOP_RISKS].
- 2Execution and capital allocation risks in major downstream transformation initiatives, as demonstrated by the PLN 1.11 billion impairment charge on the "New Chemistry" petrochemical project [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS, TOP_RISKS].
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.