QM · rank #4 · 2026-07-27
TOR
GPW · PLN · $429M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +87.58% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +13.9% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.1% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $429M |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-06-26 | $69.10 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-06-27 | $36.84 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Torpol (TOR@GPW) is a Polish railway engineering and construction group specializing in rail line and station modernization under multi-year, state-funded PKP PLK contracts, with emerging exposure to energy infrastructure.
Rationale
The 87.6% 12-month price momentum is reinforced by concrete fundamental catalysts — a PLN 3.64bn Warsaw rail line award, a ~PLN 6.8–6.9bn expected backlog, and gross margin expansion to 7.2% — making the momentum signal fundamentally anchored rather than purely sentiment-driven.
Material risks
- 1Fixed-price execution risk on the multi-billion PLN Warszawa Wschodnia and Warsaw rail line contracts is the primary thesis-breaker, as cost overruns on these concentrated, large-scale projects could rapidly compress the already-thin ~4% net profit margin and destroy the quality signal.
- 2Temporary CEO appointment through September 2026 and speculation around CPK-related ownership or structural changes introduce capital allocation uncertainty that could disrupt the dividend thesis and strategic continuity underpinning the quality screen.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.