QM · rank #20 · 2026-09-07
ATI
NYSE · $27.46B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +211.94% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +25.4% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +10.1% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $500M required. | $27.46B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-07 | $227.84 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-08 | $73.04 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
ATI is a differentiated manufacturer of high-performance alloys, titanium, and forgings serving aerospace & defense engine programs as a bottleneck-solving sole-source supplier.
Rationale
The quality_momentum signal is strongly reinforced — 25%+ ROE, 10%+ margins, and 2.1x momentum score align with a record backlog of $4.4B, 37% EBITDA growth, a 19-21% EPS beat, and raised full-year guidance anchored by long-term agreements and sole-source positions rather than sentiment alone.
Material risks
- 1OEM insourcing of forgings or titanium (e.g., GE Aerospace or RTX vertically integrating) would directly invalidate the sole-source bottleneck thesis that underpins both the moat and the backlog's pricing power.
- 2Aerospace & defense concentration above two-thirds of revenue means any engine build-rate cut (737 MAX, GTF disruptions) or defense budget sequestration would compress backlog conversion and crack the margin expansion narrative quickly.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.