QM · rank #4 · 2026-09-07
HOT
XETRA · EUR · $37.20B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +119.69% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +92.9% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +2.2% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $37.20B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-07 | $452.40 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-08 | $205.93 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
HOCHTIEF is a global engineering and construction group with dominant positions in data center build-out, civil infrastructure, and energy transition projects, operating through Turner, Flatiron, Dragados, and Amentum partnerships across North America, Europe, and Australia.
Rationale
The momentum_12_1 of 1.20 and ROE of 93% are directly reinforced by H1 2026 operational net profit up 35%, a record €85 billion backlog providing ~21 months of revenue visibility, and raised full-year guidance implying 30–40% earnings growth — exactly the quality-earnings-acceleration combination the strategy targets.
Material risks
- 1Data center concentration risk is the primary thesis-breaker — €13.3 billion of H1 2026 new orders (~42% of intake) are tied to hyperscale/AI capex, so any material pullback in hyperscaler spending would directly collapse the order intake rate that is currently driving both the momentum signal and the earnings upgrade cycle.
- 2North American project execution risk across the combined Flatiron/Dragados entity and Turner's expanded pipeline could produce cost overruns or margin compression that undermines the raised €1.025–1.100 billion profit guidance and the newly secured BBB credit rating, reversing the quality signal.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.