QM · rank #2 · 2026-09-08
KGH
GPW · PLN · $19.17B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +160.96% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +24.1% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +20.0% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $19.17B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-07 | $352.95 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-08 | $135.25 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
KGHM Polska Miedz is a vertically integrated Polish copper and silver producer with global operations including the Sierra Gorda mine in Chile and a market cap of ~$19 billion.
Rationale
The momentum_12_1 of 1.61 is directly anchored in fundamental reality — H1 2026 net profit rose ~10x year-on-year and EBITDA nearly doubled, giving the price move genuine earnings backing rather than pure sentiment drift, while ROE of 24% and margin of 20% confirm the quality screen is capturing real profitability.
Material risks
- 1Earnings are overwhelmingly copper-price-driven rather than volume-driven, meaning a commodity reversal would rapidly deflate both the quality metrics and the momentum signal simultaneously, collapsing the dual thesis in a single move.
- 2The 49% guided drop in molybdenum output in 2026 illustrates operational mix risk, and Sierra Gorda's $504M carrying value remains exposed to Chilean policy or community-relations deterioration that could force an impairment.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.