QM · rank #6 · 2026-09-08
PKN
GPW · PLN · $49.38B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +91.14% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +8.7% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +4.5% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $49.38B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-07 | $149.06 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-08 | $77.99 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
PKN Orlen is Poland's dominant integrated energy group spanning upstream oil & gas, refining, petrochemicals, power, retail fuel, and growing renewables across Central and Eastern Europe.
Rationale
Strong 12-1 momentum (0.91) is reinforced by Q2 2026 earnings beats on refining/petrochemical margins and a visible pipeline of onstream Norwegian Sea fields, LNG expansion, and the Polimery Police acquisition, giving the quality-momentum signal fundamental backing rather than pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1ROE of 8.7% and profit margin of 4.5% are thin for an integrated major, and any reversal in refining crack spreads or a crude price drop could rapidly compress margins and invalidate the quality leg of the screen.
- 2The Polimery Police acquisition faces an active legal dispute with the JV partner, creating binary event risk that could result in a costly failed deal or dilutive settlement that dents near-term earnings quality.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.