QM · rank #3 · 2026-09-08
XTB
GPW · PLN · $4.99B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Momentum 12-1 Return from 12 months ago to 1 month ago. | +125.47% |
|---|---|
| ROE TTM Return on equity, trailing 12 months. | +58.4% |
| Profit margin Net profit margin, trailing 12 months. | +41.3% |
| Market cap (USD) Size filter: > $300M required (USD-equivalent). | $4.99B |
| Anchor (recent) Close on 2026-08-07 | $168.00 |
| Anchor (far) Close on 2025-08-08 | $74.51 |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
XTB is a Polish retail forex and CFD broker generating high-margin revenues from a rapidly growing active client base across leveraged trading products.
Rationale
The quality_momentum signal is strongly reinforced — 12-1 momentum of 1.25 reflects a stock re-rating on genuine fundamental acceleration, with ROE of 58% and profit margins of 41% confirming that earnings quality is real, not optical, as YTD 2026 net profit already exceeds full-year 2025.
Material risks
- 1Earnings are acutely volume- and volatility-dependent with no contracted revenue base, meaning a sustained low-volatility regime or regulatory cap on CFD leverage (as ESMA has imposed before) could collapse margins as rapidly as they expanded.
- 2Marketing spend growing 67%+ YoY creates a high fixed-cost ratchet — if client acquisition slows or churn rises, the cost base will compress margins before management can adjust, as the 2024→2025 profit decline already demonstrated.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.